Prophets of doom are working overtime these days; and their prophecies center around
. They either predict Pakistan ’s collapse or suggest its break-up or “balkanization” as an option to sort out its problems. The reason Pakistan is increasingly becoming a favorite topic of these debates is its frail economy and dwindling popularity of the democratic dispensation cobbled together by the Pakistan and its allies. The situation has developed into this over a period of three years and is God-gifted for them. The country was happy and prosperous as it was not in the clutches of IMF a few years ago and was stable attracting foreign and domestic investment with a sustainable portfolio of external debts. Oil prices, energy crisis, inflation and floods have played havoc of such a scale with its economy that every Tom, Dick and Harry has started foretelling what he likes, completely ignoring the fact that US is a force to reckon with; having nuclear assets and one of the best military machines of the world. Pakistan
Notwithstanding the fact that their prophecies are at best the most laughable, these prophets of dooms, unwittingly, predict deadly scenarios for the
including its annihilation in nuclear attacks to its total economic melt-down a la USA due to un-sustainable military spending and unscrupulous support for USSR . Dr. Andrew Krepinevich, a military futurist prophesizes in his book, 7 Deadly Scenarios that America’s biggest threat are rogue nuclear states like North Korea and possibly Iran, China's rise to a great power status, the still powerful remains of the Soviet Union, and terrorists in Afghanistan and elsewhere. Israel
His first scenario in the book centers on a possible collapse of Pakistan's government which in his view has a recent history of numerous attempted assassinations, an inability to govern all its territory, a military and intelligence service divided between loyalist and Islamic factions, a largely young, undereducated and unemployed population, and now widespread dissatisfaction with its government's inability to satisfactorily respond to a recent flood disaster. Finding
's 80-120 nuclear weapons spread among several sites would be very difficult, and they could end up exploding in Pakistan or the India U.S.
Possibly insecure nuclear arms of
The author also unwittingly creates more of the same scenarios as deadly as those he is trying to avoid. The first of these is sovietizing the